| This is a discussion on question for Zach within the online poker forums, in the General Poker section; i suck at math. what are the odds of this happening? this is four consecutive hands. notice my hole cards. PokerStars Game #18853567225: Tournament #95929626, ... |
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| question for Zach i suck at math. what are the odds of this happening? this is four consecutive hands. notice my hole cards. PokerStars Game #18853567225: Tournament #95929626, $3.00+$0.40 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2008/07/15 - 23:50:26 (ET) Table '95929626 1' 9-max Seat #2 is the button Seat 1: ogrenomore (1440 in chips) Seat 2: pokerpappa01 (3180 in chips) Seat 4: gooddog123 (1500 in chips) Seat 5: Zhurrie (1500 in chips) Seat 6: calliekay (1440 in chips) Seat 7: kd25 (1440 in chips) Seat 8: rob77143 (1500 in chips) Seat 9: Chiefer77 (1500 in chips) gooddog123: posts small blind 10 Zhurrie: posts big blind 20 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Chiefer77 [Kc Ks] calliekay: calls 20 kd25: folds rob77143: folds Chiefer77: raises 80 to 100 ogrenomore: folds pokerpappa01: folds gooddog123: calls 90 Zhurrie: calls 80 calliekay: folds *** FLOP *** [8s Ah 4s] gooddog123: bets 220 Zhurrie: calls 220 Chiefer77: folds *** TURN *** [8s Ah 4s] 4♥ gooddog123: bets 600 Zhurrie: calls 600 *** RIVER *** [8s Ah 4s 4h] 7♣ gooddog123: checks Zhurrie: checks *** SHOW DOWN *** gooddog123: shows [Qc Kh] (a pair of Fours) Zhurrie: shows [As Jh] (two pair, Aces and Fours) Zhurrie collected 1960 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 1960 | Rake 0 Board [8s Ah 4s 4h 7c] Seat 1: ogrenomore folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 2: pokerpappa01 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 4: gooddog123 (small blind) showed [Qc Kh] and lost with a pair of Fours Seat 5: Zhurrie (big blind) showed [As Jh] and won (1960) with two pair, Aces and Fours Seat 6: calliekay folded before Flop Seat 7: kd25 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 8: rob77143 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 9: Chiefer77 folded on the Flop PokerStars Game #18853587524: Tournament #95929626, $3.00+$0.40 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2008/07/15 - 23:51:31 (ET) Table '95929626 1' 9-max Seat #4 is the button Seat 1: ogrenomore (1440 in chips) Seat 2: pokerpappa01 (3180 in chips) Seat 4: gooddog123 (580 in chips) Seat 5: Zhurrie (2540 in chips) Seat 6: calliekay (1420 in chips) Seat 7: kd25 (1440 in chips) Seat 8: rob77143 (1500 in chips) Seat 9: Chiefer77 (1400 in chips) Zhurrie: posts small blind 10 calliekay: posts big blind 20 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Chiefer77 [Ks Kd] kd25: folds rob77143: calls 20 Chiefer77: raises 100 to 120 ogrenomore: calls 120 pokerpappa01: folds gooddog123: folds Zhurrie: folds calliekay: calls 100 rob77143: folds *** FLOP *** [9h 8h Ad] calliekay: bets 80 Chiefer77: calls 80 ogrenomore: calls 80 *** TURN *** [9h 8h Ad] 4♥ calliekay: bets 160 Chiefer77: folds ogrenomore: calls 160 *** RIVER *** [9h 8h Ad 4h] 9♣ calliekay: bets 360 ogrenomore: calls 360 *** SHOW DOWN *** calliekay: shows [Ah Qh] (a flush, Ace high) ogrenomore: mucks hand calliekay collected 1670 from pot pokerpappa01 said, "nh" *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 1670 | Rake 0 Board [9h 8h Ad 4h 9c] Seat 1: ogrenomore mucked [7h As] Seat 2: pokerpappa01 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 4: gooddog123 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 5: Zhurrie (small blind) folded before Flop Seat 6: calliekay (big blind) showed [Ah Qh] and won (1670) with a flush, Ace high Seat 7: kd25 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 8: rob77143 folded before Flop Seat 9: Chiefer77 folded on the Turn PokerStars Game #18853607654: Tournament #95929626, $3.00+$0.40 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2008/07/15 - 23:52:35 (ET) Table '95929626 1' 9-max Seat #5 is the button Seat 1: ogrenomore (720 in chips) Seat 2: pokerpappa01 (3180 in chips) Seat 4: gooddog123 (580 in chips) Seat 5: Zhurrie (2530 in chips) Seat 6: calliekay (2370 in chips) Seat 7: kd25 (1440 in chips) Seat 8: rob77143 (1480 in chips) Seat 9: Chiefer77 (1200 in chips) calliekay: posts small blind 10 kd25: posts big blind 20 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Chiefer77 [7d Qd] rob77143: folds Chiefer77: folds ogrenomore: folds pokerpappa01: calls 20 gooddog123: raises 40 to 60 Zhurrie: folds calliekay: folds kd25: calls 40 pokerpappa01: calls 40 *** FLOP *** [5d 7h Qs] kd25: checks pokerpappa01: bets 100 gooddog123: raises 240 to 340 kd25: folds pokerpappa01: calls 240 *** TURN *** [5d 7h Qs] 3♠ pokerpappa01: bets 180 gooddog123: calls 180 and is all-in *** RIVER *** [5d 7h Qs 3s] J♠ *** SHOW DOWN *** pokerpappa01: shows [Qh Kc] (a pair of Queens) gooddog123: shows [Jd Ac] (a pair of Jacks) pokerpappa01 collected 1230 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 1230 | Rake 0 Board [5d 7h Qs 3s Js] Seat 1: ogrenomore folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 2: pokerpappa01 showed [Qh Kc] and won (1230) with a pair of Queens Seat 4: gooddog123 showed [Jd Ac] and lost with a pair of Jacks Seat 5: Zhurrie (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 6: calliekay (small blind) folded before Flop Seat 7: kd25 (big blind) folded on the Flop Seat 8: rob77143 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 9: Chiefer77 folded before Flop (didn't bet) PokerStars Game #18853625467: Tournament #95929626, $3.00+$0.40 Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2008/07/15 - 23:53:32 (ET) Table '95929626 1' 9-max Seat #6 is the button Seat 1: ogrenomore (720 in chips) Seat 2: pokerpappa01 (3830 in chips) Seat 5: Zhurrie (2530 in chips) Seat 6: calliekay (2360 in chips) Seat 7: kd25 (1380 in chips) Seat 8: rob77143 (1480 in chips) Seat 9: Chiefer77 (1200 in chips) kd25: posts small blind 10 rob77143: posts big blind 20 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Chiefer77 [Kd Ks] Chiefer77: raises 100 to 120 ogrenomore: folds pokerpappa01: folds Zhurrie: folds calliekay: folds kd25: folds rob77143: folds Uncalled bet (100) returned to Chiefer77 Chiefer77 collected 50 from pot Chiefer77: doesn't show hand *** SUMMARY *** Total pot 50 | Rake 0 Seat 1: ogrenomore folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 2: pokerpappa01 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 5: Zhurrie folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 6: calliekay (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 7: kd25 (small blind) folded before Flop Seat 8: rob77143 (big blind) folded before Flop Seat 9: Chiefer77 collected (50) |
| Play Texas Hold'em Online Poker | question for Zach | |
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... Basically the point is what do you want to know, odds of being dealt these exact cards 4 in a row? Odds of getting KK in 3 of 4 in a row? Odds of getting pocket pair 3 of 4 in a row? Odds of getting the same pocket pair 3 of 4 in a row? Odds of this happening on a Tuesday? Remember the odds of getting 9d7c, 5c5d, Ah3s, and 9c2s in a row is (1/52)(1/51)(1/52)(1/51)(1/52)(1/51)(1/52)(1/51) = 1 in 4.9*10^13. Can't do any math until you define the terms of what you consider special about this series. |
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| didn't think i had to elaborate too much on this, lol. you're a pretty smart kid, figured it was obivious what i was asking. that's why i asked you. i did say, notice my hole cards in four consecutive hands. all i wanted to know was what are the odds of getting the the same pocket pair 3 out of 4 consecutive hands. Last edited by Chiefer : 16th July 2008 at 5:27 AM. |
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Odds of it happening 3 in a row are: (3/51)*(4/52)(3/51)*(4/52)(3/51) = 1 in 830,297. Since there are 4 ways of making 3/4 (123, 124, 134, 234) multiply by 4 and we get 1 in 207,574.25 hands, or around once every 210k hands. |
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| re: question for Zach poker Quote:
thanks man, i did pick up on your sarcasm by the way. lol. i was just curious is all. it's never happened to me before, as i don't get to devote as much time to playing as some of the rest of us. |
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