PT Omaha quiz: guess my profit/loss based on stats

#1 22nd January 2008, 4:23 AM

Hey everyone, I’ve been using Poker Tracker Omaha (PTO) along with Poker Ace HUD (PAHUD) for about the last 10 days while playing on Poker Stars. I wanted to try a little experiment here and see how close you guys could come to estimating my net winnings/losses at the 2 levels I play, based on some of my PTO stats.

First, a bit about my game and general strategies that I adhere to… I am playing limit ring games… Omaha Hi-Lo… $.25/.$50 & $.50/$1.00 tables. I try to exclusively play the best starting hands for O8 (A2A3, A234, A23x, A2xx, A34x, AAxx, AKQJ, etc). The one exception would be when I am in the BB or occasionally protected my SB... in these cases I may sometimes play marginal hands, but never play complete crap hands like Q985, JJ65, etc. I generally employ a calling strategy with decent hands like A2xx(us) and raise with top ones like A23x (at least Ace suited with 1 other card). If playing a hand like x23x, I will almost always fold if an Ace doesn’t come on the flop. If going for low and 2 lows come on the flop, I usually play it aggressively. I have also stopped (in most cases) chasing unrealistic draws… like flopping 2 pair and hoping to hit a boat (4-outer) by the river. I did this a lot early on and lost my a$$ in most cases. As far as table choice goes, I always look for ones with the highest possible “see the flop” %... usually shoot for 50% and above when possible.

OK… now to the stats (all ring games, usually full with 10 players):

1,953 hands of $.25/.$50 – VP$IP = 21.81%, PFR = 1.33%, TAF = 1.05, Went to SD = 34.09%, Won $ at SD = 59.81%

2,480 hands of $.50/$1.00 - VP$IP = 18.83%, PFR = .69%, TAF = .99, Went to SD = 31.92%, Won $ at SD = 59.82%

Also, if you could provide the reasoning behind your estimates, it would be greatly appreciated!

Thanks!

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