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  Poker - Probability of events occuring in poker.
 
  #1  
10-09-2007, 6:15 PM
Bentheman87
CardsChat Elite
 
Posts: 796
Probability of events occuring in poker.

Hi, lately when I play I've been going with my insticts but lately I've been making a lot of wrong decisions, and I've been making bad reads. I'm going to take a few days off from playing poker and I want to learn more about common poker probabilities of certain events happening.

Right now, the only math I use in my game is just comparing the pot odds to the odds of making my draws, which is pretty simple and easy. Late in tournies though, there are a lot of tough decisions, such as do I push all in with 5 players still to act with ace 9 and an M of 6.

Does anyone have any good charts that show the probabilities of specific events happening in no limit holdem?

For example, say I'm in middle position with Ace 8 off suit and a very short stack with an M of 3.5. I know that all in bets have been getting called often at the table, so I'm likely to get called when I push all in. It's folded to me, and there are exactly 5 players yet to act in front of me each with big stacks willing to look me up. What are the exact odds that out of 5 random hands, one of them is Ace 9 or higher, or a pocket pair of 8s or higher?

Or what about the probability of what I just posted but when I'm on the button with just the small and big blind still to act?
 

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  #2  
10-09-2007, 6:39 PM
vanquish
When it rains, it pours.
 
Posts: 5,405
Read Texas Hold 'Em: Odds and Probabilities.
  #3  
10-09-2007, 6:42 PM
buckster436
Young vs. Old Winner
 
Location: Fall River,Ma.
Plays at: full tilt
Likes: NL Holdem
Posts: 9,266
Doyles Super System Book has a good section on what your talkin about, it helps alot,, buck
  #4  
10-09-2007, 9:13 PM
Bentheman87
CardsChat Elite
 
Posts: 796
Thanks for the replies, I browsed those books on amazon.com and yeah, that's exactly what I'm looking for. I want to change my tournament strategy to a completely mathematic game, instead of playing by feel and instincts and emotion. I'll order those books, in the meantime is there any good websites with charts on poker probabilities?
  #5  
10-09-2007, 9:34 PM
vanquish
When it rains, it pours.
 
Posts: 5,405
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bentheman87
Thanks for the replies, I browsed those books on amazon.com and yeah, that's exactly what I'm looking for. I want to change my tournament strategy to a completely mathematic game, instead of playing by feel and instincts and emotion. I'll order those books, in the meantime is there any good websites with charts on poker probabilities?
Try not to be completely one-dimensional. You have to remember that poker is a psychological game as well, not simply pot odds and outs. But of course, learn all the math you can, it can only help.
 




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