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  Poker - Odds of royal flush on the board!!
 
  #1  
22-03-2007, 6:15 PM
4Aces
is watching you
 
Location: Grinding the Micro's.
Plays at: Jokerstars
Likes: NLHE & PLO
Posts: 1,917
Odds of royal flush on the board!!

WoW

Game # 1,278,261,893 starting.
> Dealing Hole Cards(Qd Ad )
> Rb51180 went all-in for 1,580
> POSTIE folded
> 1--LHC folded
> ben766 folded
> __T-Bag__ folded
> BUBBLEBAZZ folded
> evgenisz folded
> Webb2007 went all-in for 920
> hly folded
> bartfc82 folded
> Extra chips returned to Rb51180, 660
> Dealing the Flop(Qc Jc Kc )
> Dealing the turn(10c )
> Dealing the river(Ac )
> Webb2007 wins 935 with a Royal Flush, Clubs
> Rb51180 wins 935 with a Royal Flush, Clubs
 

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  #2  
22-03-2007, 6:25 PM
tosborn
CardsChat Regular
 
Posts: 580
Wow is right. That would be the first time I have ever seen that.
  #3  
22-03-2007, 6:31 PM
Irexes
Im in ur tornamentz -
 
Location: Essex, UK
Plays at: Stars
Likes: MTTs & Ring
Posts: 4,361
Right, you need any face card or ace

16/52

Then one of the four remaining "royal" cards of that suit

4/51

Repeat with 3

3/50

and 2

2/49

and 1

1/48

so

(16/52) x (4/51) x (3/50) x (2/49) x (1/48)

=


0.000123126% of the time which is about 1 in a million.

Last edited by Irexes : 22-03-2007 at 6:36 PM. Reason: decimal point in wrong place :)
  #4  
22-03-2007, 6:44 PM
Irexes
Im in ur tornamentz -
 
Location: Essex, UK
Plays at: Stars
Likes: MTTs & Ring
Posts: 4,361
oops that's wrong.. forgot about tens, should be 20/52 at the start.

Not much of a difference though
  #5  
22-03-2007, 8:00 PM
WhiteWidowToker
Advanced Member
 
Location: Canada
Plays at: FT
Likes: NL hold'em
Posts: 154
I'm no math god, but wouldn't that be 1 in 10 million?
  #6  
22-03-2007, 8:01 PM
LuckyShark777
CardsChat Regular
 
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
Plays at: Pokerstars
Likes: HORSE
Posts: 508
I had it happen to me at a live game once...crazy stuff
  #7  
22-03-2007, 8:57 PM
Irexes
Im in ur tornamentz -
 
Location: Essex, UK
Plays at: Stars
Likes: MTTs & Ring
Posts: 4,361
Quote:
Originally Posted by WhiteWidowToker View Post
I'm no math god, but wouldn't that be 1 in 10 million?
Don't think so, but then I've thoroughly confused myself with this.

UMPIRE!!
  #8  
25-03-2007, 4:50 PM
Jack Daniels
Dusts off the competition
 
Location: Soldier Field
Plays at: home.
Likes: Da Bears
Posts: 10,429
Quote:
Originally Posted by Irexes View Post
Don't think so, but then I've thoroughly confused myself with this.

UMPIRE!!
LOL...

When you go to recalculate it, don't forget to account for the two cards in your hand that you've already seen. Therefore your starting count of unseen cards to make a royal flush on board is 50, not 52.
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