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Poker - need a maths wizz- whats the probability
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#1
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need a maths wizz- whats the probability
Earlier I played a sitngo got dealt a JJ then QQ then AA whats the odds?
I got no value from any hand all folded pre-flop I figured someone would have called at least one. I bet 3 or 4xbb on all and I think was 15/30 blinds. |
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#2
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The odds are 1 in 221 to get a pocket pair. It would be 4/52 x 3/51.
Now this is where it is tricky, and I am not really sure. It could be argued that the odds are still 1 in 221 since the hand before doesnt effect this hand. Or it could be 10/221 to the 3rd or about 1 in 10,800. I have these numbers written in my notes, so they may or may not be correct, honestly I cant remember, but something tells me that it doesnt change and the oods are 1 in 221 no matter how many times in a row it is. |
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#4
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depends if you're asking the odds of just getting 3 big pairs (defined as JJ+) in a row, or specifically the sequence that occured to you, or some other parameters. calculating the odds of getting exactly JJ, then QQ, then AA in a row would be incredibly arbitrary, so i'd recommend the first one
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#6
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#7
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#8
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Yeah I really should put post like this for the attention of zach. So i suppose the questions a little redundant huh?
Although I think you would agree getting delt that sequence of cards right after each other is a bit mad. |
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#10
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(pocket pairs we are talking about) |
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#11
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Almost correct... The odds being dealt any pair in the hole in hold'em is 16 to 1 against. The question here however is asking the odds of being dealt any pocket pair JJ or higher, which is 54.3 to 1 against........ I think. |
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#12
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Yea the question is completely arbitrary depending on what you are asking. The odds of JJ+ 3 times in a row is actually ((16/52)*(3/51))^3 = 0.000593% (zach inadvertently calculated the odds of QQ+ not JJ+ because JJ+ is 16 cards not 12). The odds of getting exactly AA then QQ then JJ in that order is ((4/52)*(3/51))^3 or 0.00000926%. The odds of getting any pocket pair 3 times in a row is (3/51)^3 or 0.02% and the odds of any 3 way combination of AA/QQ/JJ in 3 hands is ((12/52)*(3/51))*((8/52)*(3/51))*((4/52)*(3/51)) or 0.0000559%.
@diamond...no the odds of getting dealt a pocket pair is exactly 1/17. The first card doesn't matter since it can be anything. For the second card you have 3 cards in the deck out of 51 to make a pocket pair. And 3/51 = 1/17. The odds of JJ+ in any given hand is ((16/52)*(3/51) = 1/55.2 |
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#13
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questions like these often ignore the fact that its not a significant event until you hit second pair, you are going to be dealt pairs so 1ts 1/289 that you will follow a pr with 2 more but 1/4913 if you ask what are the odds of having 3 prs to start a tournament
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