Main Event Final table predictions

what's yours? Mine is

1. Racener: Looking at past results his profile fits the winners. Middle of the pack stack and a solid player who is not too reckless but not to hermit like. I have a felling he will win it. I have had this feeling since the November Nine was set.

2. Cheong: The typical player who will play some of the best poker but not win, like Saout or Demidov from previous years.

3. Duhamel: Loses some of his stack early but not crippled. Eventually settles in and plays well but is beat when the players start to go away.

4. Mizrachi: Steady but not enough and is evenutally grinded down by more agressive players. He will be too choosey with his spots, like most pros are when they get to the final table.

5. Jarvis :the player who will do nothing and eventaully just leave, like Suharto

6. Candio:Wins a big hand early, maybe from Dolan. But then falls down after some reckless attempts at bluffing

7. Dolan :will ship marge stacks of chips to several players

8. Nguyen
9. Senti

I agree. I like Racener as well. Seems very poised and ready to take this title.

One thing we know is that the player who plays the best will not win. Look at previous years. Saout was the best player at the table that year. Demidov and Schwartz in 2008.

I don't like th November Nine concept but it does make for more entetaining viewing because I can resist spoilers fro two days to watch as if live. Rather than avoid spoilers for months.

I like Mizrachi to win it. He has a solid game and he should be able to chip up to compete with the leaders. Racener is a good choice, too. He shows a dynamic game has been very steady all year. For either to win, in my modest opinion, they must get past Dolan. He has the chips and the game to go all the way.
So, it's:
1. Mizrachi
2. Racener
3. Dolan

I see Dolan as the chip shipper. Although it could very well be Duhamel as well.

I will laugh so hard if Nguyen wins... he's the worst player and he knows it.

Cheong or Mizrachi will win. Mizrachi because he is playing hot in WSOP this year with a win under his belt. Cheong because his gutsy style can help him win it all or lose early. Nguyen is the sorriest player, style is too basic, so I hope he doesn't win.

Senti gonna come back from the shortstack yo

Let me get this straight.... You think Saout is a better player than Ivey???
Cant say that I agree with that no matter how they finished.

Mizrachi, he could get grinded down like you said but I think this year he will be more aggressive

No Ivey is the better player. I am saying that Saout played the best that day. He played the best at the final table.

Funny you should mention Ivey. His name came up in another forum about WSOP November Nines. I nominated him as the worst bad beat ever. Do you remember the hand he got eliminated with by Chris Moneymaker? I give him all the props for being able to come back from that and win other tournaments again. I know he is a pro and all that good stuff but, I would have been devastated for a long time.

I like John Racener's chances because his play is very loose tight. He limps in soemtimes when bad hands and gets paid off like the 6 3 the other night. John Dolan also has a good chance because he seems to win big pots with his aggrssive nature. I dont like mizrachi because he sometimes loses a lot of chips when he limps in with hands such as ace 3 and ace 4.

I want the Grinder to win it.

Go put your predictions in at http://games.espn.go.com/pokerpickem/en/frontpage

Win a trip to the PCA.

racner i think wins it however i think mix and duhamel are 3 and 2 dont know who comes in what place but those are final 3 for sure. with candio out in 4th

1. Racener............

2. Duhamel..............

3. Mizrachi............

4. Dolan...........

5. Cheong...........

6. Candio............

7. Nguyen.........

8. Senti............

9. Jarvis...........

Candio is gonna be hilarious to watch I'm sure. I dont like WSOP rules about excessive celebration to be honest, they silenced Hevad Khan!!! They cannot be forgiven... lol.

yea, that rule's gotta go.

Anyway apart from the above names, no one thinks thorson will make it?

ehh. Are you still spoiler-free?

For some reason I really don't like Dolan

I don't really think Thorson has the staying power to win it all at this point, but if you want to make it interesting, I'll give you 100:1 odds on however much you want to bet. Anybody else want some action?

i bet if you said 10:1 odds the guy woulda fallen for it

That's interesting.....what are the odds for each of the November 9 to win it all? Are the casinos in Vegas taking action on it? I'm sure they are! It would be very interesting to know is favored at books like Bellagio and Palms.

Casinos in Vegas take action on whetehr or not CCers will start a thread like this so of course they take action on it

I would love to see Nguyen win it or at least get HU. That would be great.

You'd be surprised, look at Hachem and Cada. Low stacked Main Event Champions. These instances occurred recently mind you.

Anyone except Candio, preferably Cheong or Racener.

Has nothing to do with stacks, Hachem was basically a pro, he was playing the game for a living. Cada was also playing for a living, but mainly online. Nyugen hasnt played poker with any regularity for ten years, he doesnt even know what implied odds are... that's why it would be funny if he wins.

Here's what I found, but I'm not familiar with how to interpret these numbers:

Jonathan Duhamel +210
John Dolan +300
Michael Mizrachi +550
Joseph Cheong +700
John Racener +700
Matthew Jarvis +900
Filippo Candio +1000
Cuong Nguyen +1600
Jason Sentl +2000

Candio to win - but only if he gets his money in on the flop with a 13% chance to win.

wasn't Jerry Yang also fairly short stacked going into the final table?

One thing I know, is that you can't win with reputation in this game. You have to make aggressive bets at the proper moment and let the odds and the gods do the rest. I always favor the guy with the dominating stack, but well... who knows?

The odds you found, X2486, are payoffs based on a $100 bet. So, it looks like duhamel is a little over 2 to 1 favorite, Dolan 3 to 1 and Mizrachi 5 1/2 to 1. I like Mizrachi but I would not bet unless I was getting atleast 9 to 1.

Duhamel has a big stack. But all it takes is one misstep and moment of hubris. He is not really that big a favorite. Plus he plays a reckless style.