How often do your best hands on Full Tilt win?

#1 2nd March 2008, 2:51 AM

This is for tournament poker only when you get all in preflop which is unavoidable in the late stages of a mtt. By best hand I mean a hand which has the opponent's hand dominated, like AK vs AQ, or QQ vs A10 or pair over pair. AK vs J10 doesn't count as domination. From my sample so far for mostly sngs and also a few mtts, I've won about 53% of the time.

#2 2nd March 2008, 2:57 AM

ok so if i am a 80% fav, i win 4 out of 5 races
and if im a 70% fav, i lose 3 out of 10 races

weird huh?

#3 2nd March 2008, 3:02 AM

Most of my 2 to 1 I win about 33.3333% of the time, when I'm a 60-40 favorite they hold up about 60% of the time. That's just on full tilt though, pokerstars is a whole other question

#4 2nd March 2008, 3:25 AM

Didn't you promise to quit poker for a month? I guess that doesn't hold up as often as it should either.

#5 2nd March 2008, 3:48 AM

first of all, a hand being dominated is when u have like Ak vs Aj or Q7 vs Q6. it's when u have the same top card but better kicker. Secondly, when i go all in when im a 80% fav ill win the hand 80% of the time. if i have a 33.3% chance of winning the hand ill win it 33.3% of the hand. that's the way it goes. your not going to win 53% of the time when your a 80% favourite, you're going to win 80% of the time. u might be unlucky in a given period of time, but over the long run that's how it is, no exceptions(give or take 0.25% or so).

#6 2nd March 2008, 4:00 AM

AK vs AQ im almost a 3-1 favorite so i usually win 70% of the time
1010,JJ,QQ vs AK im a 13-10 favourite so ill win about 60% of the time

These are all pre-flop match ups based on EV

#7 2nd March 2008, 4:13 AM

It's rigged.

WTF is the point of this?

#8 2nd March 2008, 4:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WVHillbilly

Didn't you promise to quit poker for a month? I guess that doesn't hold up as often as it should either.

lool A+

seriously ben how many times are you going to make what basically is the same thread

#9 2nd March 2008, 6:07 AM

poker is rigged and spewmonkeys are set to win obv

#10 2nd March 2008, 7:36 AM

the guys that complain poker is rigged are just bad players. it's that simple. they can't win, so they blame something else for their lack of skill.

why would a company that makes hundreds of millions of dollars risk their reputation for something that isnt even going to profit them much if any at all?

shut up and learn how to play the game.

#11 2nd March 2008, 1:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by greener_lax

the guys that complain poker is rigged are just bad players. it's that simple. they can't win, so they blame something else for their lack of skill.

why would a company that makes hundreds of millions of dollars risk their reputation for something that isnt even going to profit them much if any at all?

shut up and learn how to play the game.

Well according to sharkscope, Ben is a good player, that's what surprises me. He's usually pretty much spot on in his tournament advice, yet continues to complain about poker being rigged. Looks like he hit a downswing, but it back winning now. Obviously this is just sngs and I don't know how he's doing in non-sng MTTs, but with almost $4k in sng winnings, he's gotta be doing something right .

#12 2nd March 2008, 1:45 PM

i also lose alot on ft when i have the best hand. lost with kk vs ak, aa vs q9, qq vs 10 3. each time other person put me all in preflop makes me wonder.

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