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  Poker - DOES ANYONE KNOW
 
  #1  
16-03-2008, 8:08 PM
thesurgeon1
New Member
 
Plays at: pokerstars
Posts: 10
DOES ANYONE KNOW

THE ODDS OF GETTING AA CRACKED BY ONLY ONE OTHER PLAYER IN THE HAND.. I HAD IT HAPPEN 3 TIMES IN ONE DAY.
 

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  #2  
16-03-2008, 8:18 PM
infrared
New Member
 
Posts: 3
comparing poker chat info sites

so, anyone care to share with me the benefits of one card chat info room over another. I am trying to determine where to spend my time and I tend to like the look and feel of this site. curious about how easy it is to navigate, get info, clarity, etc. who is a fan? thanks

RR
  #3  
16-03-2008, 8:19 PM
infrared
New Member
 
Posts: 3
I got beat with trip AAA...

then...

Aces up

and then...

a full house

....all in the first 30 minutes at a casino yesterday
  #4  
16-03-2008, 8:25 PM
thesurgeon1
New Member
 
Plays at: pokerstars
Posts: 10
INFARED

I'M SORRY, THATS WORST THAN MY LUCK, BUT I FEEL IF YOUR AGGRESSIVE IN ONLINE POKER YOU WILL HAVE AN ADVANTAGE. I'M JUST NOT THAT AGGRESSIVE.
  #5  
16-03-2008, 8:27 PM
MrDaMan
CardsChat Regular
 
Location: Sandy Eggo
Plays at: Poker Stars
Likes: holdem
Posts: 502
Quote:
so, anyone care to share with me the benefits of one card chat info room over another. I am trying to determine where to spend my time and I tend to like the look and feel of this site. curious about how easy it is to navigate, get info, clarity, etc. who is a fan? thanks
It's really a personal decision, I like it here because it's mature without being too stuffy. No youngsters being mean in flames and no oldsters being mean and making you feel inferior. Still a lot of fun stuff, good info, discussion and sharing of strategy.

Stick around, get the feel of things, contribute or not at your own pace, no pressures here.
  #6  
16-03-2008, 9:03 PM
petewes
New Member
 
Plays at: intertops
Likes: horse
Posts: 5
I beleive it depends on the site your on
  #7  
16-03-2008, 9:39 PM
Guittars
Aspiring Member
 
Location: Liverpool, England
Plays at: ipoker
Likes: HeadsUp
Posts: 89
Quote:
Originally Posted by thesurgeon1
I'M SORRY, THATS WORST THAN MY LUCK, BUT I FEEL IF YOUR AGGRESSIVE IN ONLINE POKER YOU WILL HAVE AN ADVANTAGE. I'M JUST NOT THAT AGGRESSIVE.
welcome aboard and all that. and bad luck with your AA. but please STOP SHOUTING!

G
  #8  
17-03-2008, 2:14 AM
OzExorcist
Broomcorn's uncle
 
Location: Australia
Plays at: Full Tilt
Likes: wild deuces
Posts: 2,421
Wow, this thread has gone all over the place

Back to the original topic - your percentage to win will vary depending on the cards your opponents are holding but pre-flop, against one opponent, you can expect to be around 80% or more to win.

(I'm doing this from memory, someone with PokerStove may be able to provide more specific stats against a range of hands)

Sounds like you got very unlucky... but then you got even more lucky if you got dealt AA three times within half an hour in a live game. So maybe the laws of probability just took a day off for you
  #9  
17-03-2008, 2:20 AM
vanquish
CardsChat Villain
 
Location: wondering where it all went wrong
Posts: 5,256
this thread makes me cry
  #10  
17-03-2008, 12:25 PM
SAH89
Expert Member
 
Location: Australia
Plays at: Full Tilt
Likes: Omaha H/L
Posts: 290
AA facing KK is about an 80% favourite, so having something like a KJ, it would be about 10-15% to crack the Aces.
  #11  
18-03-2008, 6:45 AM
bustme
Expert Member
 
Posts: 261
I think the odds of loosing with AA 3 times in a row is 1 %
  #12  
18-03-2008, 6:02 PM
Monoxide
cry more plz
 
Location: Ontario, Canada
Plays at: Pokerstars
Likes: Omaha is sic
Posts: 2,398
Big smurf disapproves this thread.
  #13  
18-03-2008, 6:33 PM
feitr
CardsChat Elite
 
Posts: 974
Well if you take the conservative approach that AA is about 80% vs ATC (81% vs pps, slightly less % vs suited connectors, higher% vs unconnected undercards etc), then you have about a 0.8% chance of losing 3 hands in a row with AA vs one opponent. But that % isn't valid if you actually won a hand with AA somewhere in between.
  #14  
18-03-2008, 6:44 PM
WVHillbilly
Senior Azzhole
 
Location: Almost Heaven
Plays at: Full Tilt
Posts: 2,598
Remember, that each event (hand) is mutually exclusive and has no bearing on the outcome of the other. So just because AA is 80% to win you won't automatically lose exactly 1 out of every 5 (although over the long run you will on average). You may have streaks where you lose 5 followed by winning 30 but none of those streaks will have any bearing on the outcome of the hand the next time you have AA.
  #15  
18-03-2008, 6:49 PM
big d1808
Junior Member
 
Plays at: PokerStars
Posts: 16
Yeah these bad situations happen all day, but this is poker.
Every hand could win and lose ^^
  #16  
18-03-2008, 6:58 PM
nevadanick
CardsChat Elite
 
Location: Nevada
Plays at: Pokerstars
Likes: stud
Posts: 1,213
Quote:
Originally Posted by WVHillbilly
Remember, that each event (hand) is mutually exclusive and has no bearing on the outcome of the other. So just because AA is 80% to win you won't automatically lose exactly 1 out of every 5 (although over the long run you will on average). You may have streaks where you lose 5 followed by winning 30 but none of those streaks will have any bearing on the outcome of the hand the next time you have AA.
Can you say 'variance' ... ??

8,000 of 10,000 AA hands 'should be' winners. All your BR has to do is survive the first 1,000 'variant' losses ...
 


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