| Titan Poker | Party Poker | Bodog | Pacific Poker |
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| : Which hand should I pick? | |||
| 96o |
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5 | 22.73% |
| T7o |
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7 | 31.82% |
| J7o |
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4 | 18.18% |
| Other (please specify) |
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6 | 27.27% |
| Voters: 22. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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Poker - Can you turn a trash hand into a long term winner?
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#1
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Can you turn a trash hand into a long term winner?
Hey guys,
I've always wanted to do this little experiment, and I think now is the time. Basically, I'll take an awful starting hand and for a few weeks play it similarly to how I'd play a really strong hand, i.e. very aggressively. Obviously, I'll mostly have to avoid showdowns. Looking through the worst $/hand list for the last 2 months, the worst trash hand is 96o which has cost me $0.93/hand. Next in the list is T7o with -$0.88/hand. A bit further down comes J7o with -$0.80/hand. The totals for roughly 1300 hands each are: 96o = -194.9 ptBB T7o = -172.3 ptBB J7o = -152.8 ptBB The graphs all look remarkably similar. They are almost linear (due to lots of folding) with no upswings in sight. Once we have picked a hand, I'll post the graph and try to turn it into a winner ![]() If you think I should pick a hand not on the list, please post it. |
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#4
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Quote:
Just for comparison: 72o = -141.1 ptBB over ~1300 hands 73o = -152.4 ptBB over ~1300 hands I would be willing to pick 73o. Last edited by Chris_TC : 24-08-2008 at 10:50 PM. |
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#6
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Quote:
So, I'm willing to pick 72o after all. You guys do some voting, and hopefully I can start with this tomorrow or the day after. |
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#14
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it's an interesting question. the best way to do it, if turning a trash hand into a winner was your only goal, would probably be to play in a way where that trash hand was the only hand you played. that way you'd be incredibly tight and people would give you credit for a hand when you raised whatever trash it was. of course, that's the extreme end of it. basically the tighter you are, the better it would work. also, this would destroy your whole winrate, but at least you'd do better with the trash hand
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#19
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Quote:
NSD winnings for AA and KK is 3.2ptBB/hand. NSD winnings for 84o is -0.1ptBB/hand. |
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#20
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It has been done before. KerouacsDog has demonstrated that 84o can be a long-term winning hand if you play it as though it were AA.
In honour of his achievement, we include it in CCs annual scavenger hunt and we all try to take down at least one large pot with 84o. Some of us enjoy more success at this than others. ![]() |
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#22
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Quote:
I will PM KD and see if he knows where to find it, or whether he might just summarise for us. |
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#24
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yeah, Ive got 84 hands somewhere, only at micro............you want links?
but having a look at your three suggestions, there way too dodgy to play, imo. At least with 84 you know where you are, 90% of the time. 69, T7, J7, right? well, T7 and J7 are ok, till the flop comes JQK or something similiar, after you've raised it PF and been called. You've hit the straight draw with the first hand, and bottom pair with the second, but whats the likely hands of the people calling your raise? Normally, High cards/high PPs, which would slaughter you in both cases with a board like that. 69? Nice hand, but too many people play it, 'cause of the sexual connotations, maybe, I dont know. Anyway, will find links somewhere, for 84, my nomination, if you like? Last edited by KerouacsDog : 25-08-2008 at 2:13 PM. Reason: added stuff |
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#25
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Quote:
Like ET said, you basically play it like its AA, you get the mindset that you have AA, and treat it as such. Imagine, if we were sat at a table and you were physically blind, and I was your helper? I look at your hand and whisper what you have. I see 84os, look at the table(this is live, btw), realise that you are the best at the table, and whisper to you that you have AA(instead of the actual 84), how would you play it. Thats the mindset you need. here's one, not really excellent play, I just went all-in, but its just to prove I do play/like them. http://www.cardschat.com/f46/whats-chump-73731/ oh, for more by me and other ccers, type 84os immortal in search engine to get more HH's Last edited by KerouacsDog : 25-08-2008 at 2:28 PM. Reason: added bit at end. |
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#26
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Well, Egon said that you demonstrated 84o can be a long-term winner. Did you ever post a graph or stats?
I just played 1K hands, and apparently I got dealt 84o 5 times. But I must be autopiloting so much that I didn't even realize I got dealt the hand and just folded every time. The 84o needs to start jumping out at me or I'll overlook it ![]() |
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#27
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er, graphs/stats, no sorry, I dont use Poker Tracker or any other stat-gathering tools at the mo, Im just a micro stake donk.
I could probably remember my last 20 or so times I played them, they pretty much take the same course as a high-pocket pair, with regards to betting. As for 84 jumping out at you, it will after the first time you win with it when played like it's AA. You actually wait for it, after a while, because you know you're gonna have to fire bullets on every street with it, and bluff the crap out of it. It doesnt always work, no hand does, but the true odds of it going up against AA and the like doesnt relate at all to the amount of times I actually win with it, albeit mostly without showdowns. It works better live, playing with the 'big boys', so to speak, cause of my ultra tight image live, with the same people every week pretty much, from about a group of 70 or so, I guess. At micro you always get the calls of 5xBB when it's only 1c/2c, but then it's even more fun, you've really got to work hard with it to pull off a win. I'm busy now, but will try a couple of rings later, and play my 84's like AA/KK/QQ and post results later, ok? sat at ps now, for 10 minutes, maybe I'll get it............kerouacsdog at ps |
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#28
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PokerStars Game #19885086796: Hold'em No Limit ($0.01/$0.02) - 2008/08/25 - 10:12:30 (ET)
Table 'Isberga' 9-max Seat #9 is the button Seat 1: T-BoneousMax ($9.30 in chips) Seat 5: Kerouacs Dog ($2 in chips) Seat 6: gziki65 ($4.56 in chips) Seat 9: ata3911 ($2.83 in chips) T-BoneousMax: posts small blind $0.01 Extra Velvet: is sitting out Kerouacs Dog: posts big blind $0.02 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Kerouacs Dog [Qs Ac] gziki65: calls $0.02 ata3911: folds Extra Velvet leaves the table T-BoneousMax: calls $0.01 Kerouacs Dog: raises $0.06 to $0.08 gziki65: calls $0.06 T-BoneousMax: calls $0.06 *** FLOP *** [4c 7d 8h] T-BoneousMax: checks Kerouacs Dog: bets $0.06 gziki65: calls $0.06 T-BoneousMax: folds *** TURN *** [4c 7d 8h] 8♣ Kerouacs Dog: checks gziki65: checks *** RIVER *** [4c 7d 8h 8c] Q♦ Kerouacs Dog: bets $0.10 gziki65: folds Uncalled bet ($0.10) returned to Kerouacs Dog Kerouacs Dog collected $0.36 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot $0.36 | Rake $0 Board [4c 7d 8h 8c Qd] Seat 1: T-BoneousMax (small blind) folded on the Flop Seat 5: Kerouacs Dog (big blind) collected ($0.36) Seat 6: gziki65 folded on the River Seat 9: ata3911 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) lol, first hand, wish i had it then............... |
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#29
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okerStars Game #19885133859: Hold'em No Limit ($0.01/$0.02) - 2008/08/25 - 10:15:39 (ET)
Table 'Isberga' 9-max Seat #1 is the button Seat 1: T-BoneousMax ($9.34 in chips) Seat 4: schlot1 ($1.53 in chips) Seat 5: Kerouacs Dog ($2.74 in chips) Seat 6: gziki65 ($4.30 in chips) Seat 9: ata3911 ($2.68 in chips) schlot1: posts small blind $0.01 Kerouacs Dog: posts big blind $0.02 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Kerouacs Dog [Tc 2c] gziki65: folds ata3911: folds T-BoneousMax: calls $0.02 schlot1: calls $0.01 SY Sueno joins the table at seat #2 Kerouacs Dog: raises $0.06 to $0.08 T-BoneousMax: calls $0.06 schlot1: calls $0.06 *** FLOP *** [4s Th 6s] schlot1: checks Kerouacs Dog: bets $0.16 T-BoneousMax: folds hanima joins the table at seat #8 schlot1: folds Uncalled bet ($0.16) returned to Kerouacs Dog Kerouacs Dog collected $0.24 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot $0.24 | Rake $0 Board [4s Th 6s] Seat 1: T-BoneousMax (button) folded on the Flop Seat 4: schlot1 (small blind) folded on the Flop Seat 5: Kerouacs Dog (big blind) collected ($0.24) Seat 6: gziki65 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 9: ata3911 folded before Flop (didn't bet) doyle would be proud................... (sorry for hijack!) next post will be 84, promise! |
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#31
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Ive done it, but evidence hasnt been collated for documentation, if thats what you mean?
I dont keep records online, too much information out there for everyone to see. btw, what stakes are we talking here,for your experiment, Chris? |
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#32
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sorry, couldnt get you 84, but I played my 96 like i had AA, after the flop i paused big time, to make it look like I was working out my bet......... to tell you the truth, it doesnt matter what hands you are holding, as long as you convince yourself(and more importantly, others) that you are holding AA, which works until you meet AA...........
PokerStars Game #19885402662: Hold'em No Limit ($0.01/$0.02) - 2008/08/25 - 10:32:51 (ET) Table 'Isberga' 9-max Seat #9 is the button Seat 1: T-BoneousMax ($5.88 in chips) Seat 2: pisti79 ($2.97 in chips) Seat 3: BigHairyApe ($0.98 in chips) Seat 5: Kerouacs Dog ($2.15 in chips) Seat 6: gziki65 ($14.61 in chips) Seat 7: jeje123 ($2.27 in chips) Seat 8: hanima ($4.90 in chips) Seat 9: ata3911 ($2.28 in chips) T-BoneousMax: posts small blind $0.01 pisti79: posts big blind $0.02 jeremycall85: sits out *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Kerouacs Dog [9h 6c] BigHairyApe: folds Kerouacs Dog: raises $0.06 to $0.08 gziki65: calls $0.08 jeje123: folds hanima: folds ata3911: folds T-BoneousMax: folds pisti79: folds *** FLOP *** [Ac Ks Th] ata3911 leaves the table mali shurda joins the table at seat #9 Kerouacs Dog: bets $0.10 gziki65: folds Uncalled bet ($0.10) returned to Kerouacs Dog Kerouacs Dog collected $0.19 from pot Kerouacs Dog: doesn't show hand *** SUMMARY *** Total pot $0.19 | Rake $0 Board [Ac Ks Th] Seat 1: T-BoneousMax (small blind) folded before Flop Seat 2: pisti79 (big blind) folded before Flop Seat 3: BigHairyApe folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 5: Kerouacs Dog collected ($0.19) Seat 6: gziki65 folded on the Flop Seat 7: jeje123 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 8: hanima folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 9: ata3911 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) |
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#33
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nah, gotta go, no luck with 84, when you want it you dont get it, i would have posted win or lose.
nice hand to finish on............nice river! PokerStars Game #19885540937: Hold'em No Limit ($0.01/$0.02) - 2008/08/25 - 10:41:16 (ET) Table 'Isberga' 9-max Seat #8 is the button Seat 1: T-BoneousMax ($5.69 in chips) Seat 2: pisti79 ($2.94 in chips) Seat 3: BigHairyApe ($0.93 in chips) Seat 4: jeremycall85 ($1.17 in chips) Seat 5: Kerouacs Dog ($2.01 in chips) Seat 6: gziki65 ($16.49 in chips) Seat 8: hanima ($5.13 in chips) Seat 9: mali shurda ($4.98 in chips) mali shurda: posts small blind $0.01 T-BoneousMax: posts big blind $0.02 vongretch: sits out *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Kerouacs Dog [Ad Ks] pisti79: folds BigHairyApe: folds jeremycall85: folds Kerouacs Dog: raises $0.06 to $0.08 gziki65: raises $0.06 to $0.14 hanima: folds mali shurda: folds T-BoneousMax: folds Kerouacs Dog: raises $0.36 to $0.50 gziki65: raises $0.36 to $0.86 Kerouacs Dog said, "AA?" Kerouacs Dog: raises $1.15 to $2.01 and is all-in gziki65: calls $1.15 *** FLOP *** [7d 4d Th] *** TURN *** [7d 4d Th] 2♠ *** RIVER *** [7d 4d Th 2s] K♦ *** SHOW DOWN *** Kerouacs Dog: shows [Ad Ks] (a pair of Kings) gziki65: mucks hand Kerouacs Dog collected $3.85 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot $4.05 | Rake $0.20 Board [7d 4d Th 2s Kd] Seat 1: T-BoneousMax (big blind) folded before Flop Seat 2: pisti79 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 3: BigHairyApe folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 4: jeremycall85 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 5: Kerouacs Dog showed [Ad Ks] and won ($3.85) with a pair of Kings Seat 6: gziki65 mucked [Qc Qd] Seat 8: hanima (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 9: mali shurda (small blind) folded before Flop 34 hands in total......again, sorry for hijack. |
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