Bad beat in near future?

I'm currently in a pokerstars HORSE freeroll..

I've been in the top 30 since pretty much the first 15 minutes, and i usually have the worst luck.. but now its 2 hours in and im in like 32nd place

Just under 700 people left...

I think im bound to get my share of bad beats soon, i just lost a hand and dropped to 66th... first time being this low in a while

Anyone want to take a guess what position i will finish in?

playing in a pokerstars horse freeroll = automatic bad beat

Right as i posted this i lost like 3huge pots in a row.. at the break im in 181st out of 559...

average= 16205
stack= 19876

Calm down. Go to the fridge, get a drink. Walk it off and come in and play as though its a brand new tournament. Forget those hands and play the way you are capable of.

I let those hands go.. but now its Razz .. and every time its a big pot, and ive got a good starting hand like A26 like i JUST had , next card is a 6 and next card is an A...


Im down to 10k in chips now

Ill give you some examples

PokerStars Game #7666318222: Tournament #38701813, Freeroll HORSE (Razz Limit) - Level XIII (600/1200) - 2006/12/29 - 17:52:44 (ET)
Table '38701813 417' 8-max
Seat 1: TimmyNewsome (12036 in chips)
Seat 2: YOUNGKIP (25543 in chips)
Seat 3: popdog60 (11236 in chips)
Seat 4: bross1234 (4282 in chips)
Seat 5: blondie 38 (5332 in chips)
Seat 6: badboyz747 (34866 in chips)
Seat 7: Det43 (13438 in chips)
Seat 8: JohnAGarner (31928 in chips)
JohnAGarner: posts the ante 120
TimmyNewsome: posts the ante 120
YOUNGKIP: posts the ante 120
popdog60: posts the ante 120
bross1234: posts the ante 120
blondie 38: posts the ante 120
badboyz747: posts the ante 120
Det43: posts the ante 120
*** 3rd STREET ***
Dealt to TimmyNewsome 4♦
Dealt to YOUNGKIP 6♠
Dealt to popdog60 [As 5s Ks]
Dealt to bross1234 Q♣
Dealt to blondie 38 [Td]
Dealt to badboyz747 9♣
Dealt to Det43 K♥
Dealt to JohnAGarner 4♣
popdog60: brings-in low 180
bross1234: folds
blondie 38: folds
badboyz747: folds
Det43: calls 180
JohnAGarner: calls 180
TimmyNewsome: folds
YOUNGKIP: calls 180
*** 4th STREET ***
Dealt to YOUNGKIP 6♠ 9♠
Dealt to popdog60 [As 5s Ks] 5♦
Dealt to Det43 K♥ K♣
Dealt to JohnAGarner 4♣ J♥
YOUNGKIP: checks
popdog60: checks
Det43: checks
JohnAGarner: checks
*** 5th STREET ***
Dealt to YOUNGKIP [6s 9s] A♦
Dealt to popdog60 [As 5s Ks 5d] A♣
Dealt to Det43 [Kh Kc] 8♠
Dealt to JohnAGarner [4c Jh] 8♥
YOUNGKIP: checks
popdog60: checks
Det43: checks
JohnAGarner: checks
*** 6th STREET ***
Dealt to YOUNGKIP [6s 9s Ad] 7♥
Dealt to popdog60 [As 5s Ks 5d Ac] K♦
Dealt to Det43 [Kh Kc 8s] 5♥
Dealt to JohnAGarner [4c Jh 8h] 4♥
YOUNGKIP: bets 1200
popdog60: folds
Det43: calls 1200
JohnAGarner: folds
*** RIVER ***
YOUNGKIP: bets 1200
Det43: calls 1200
*** SHOW DOWN ***
YOUNGKIP: shows [6d 3h 6s 9s Ad 7h Tc] (Lo: 9,7,6,3,A)
Det43: shows [2h Ah Kh Kc 8s 5h 7s] (Lo: 8,7,5,2,A)
Det43 collected 6480 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 6480 | Rake 0
Seat 1: TimmyNewsome folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 2: YOUNGKIP showed [6d 3h 6s 9s Ad 7h Tc] and lost with Lo: 9,7,6,3,A
Seat 3: popdog60 folded on the 6th Street
Seat 4: bross1234 folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 5: blondie 38 folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 6: badboyz747 folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Det43 showed [2h Ah Kh Kc 8s 5h 7s] and won (6480) with Lo: 8,7,5,2,A
Seat 8: JohnAGarner folded on the 6th Street

PokerStars Game #7666318222: Tournament #38701813, Freeroll HORSE (Razz Limit) - Level XIII (600/1200) - 2006/12/29 - 17:52:44 (ET)
Table '38701813 417' 8-max
Seat 1: TimmyNewsome (12036 in chips)
Seat 2: YOUNGKIP (25543 in chips)
Seat 3: popdog60 (11236 in chips)
Seat 4: bross1234 (4282 in chips)
Seat 5: blondie 38 (5332 in chips)
Seat 6: badboyz747 (34866 in chips)
Seat 7: Det43 (13438 in chips)
Seat 8: JohnAGarner (31928 in chips)
JohnAGarner: posts the ante 120
TimmyNewsome: posts the ante 120
YOUNGKIP: posts the ante 120
popdog60: posts the ante 120
bross1234: posts the ante 120
blondie 38: posts the ante 120
badboyz747: posts the ante 120
Det43: posts the ante 120
*** 3rd STREET ***
Dealt to TimmyNewsome 4♦
Dealt to YOUNGKIP 6♠
Dealt to popdog60 [As 5s Ks]
Dealt to bross1234 Q♣
Dealt to blondie 38 [Td]
Dealt to badboyz747 9♣
Dealt to Det43 K♥
Dealt to JohnAGarner 4♣
popdog60: brings-in low 180
bross1234: folds
blondie 38: folds
badboyz747: folds
Det43: calls 180
JohnAGarner: calls 180
TimmyNewsome: folds
YOUNGKIP: calls 180
*** 4th STREET ***
Dealt to YOUNGKIP 6♠ 9♠
Dealt to popdog60 [As 5s Ks] 5♦
Dealt to Det43 K♥ K♣
Dealt to JohnAGarner 4♣ J♥
YOUNGKIP: checks
popdog60: checks
Det43: checks
JohnAGarner: checks
*** 5th STREET ***
Dealt to YOUNGKIP [6s 9s] A♦
Dealt to popdog60 [As 5s Ks 5d] A♣
Dealt to Det43 [Kh Kc] 8♠
Dealt to JohnAGarner [4c Jh] 8♥
YOUNGKIP: checks
popdog60: checks
Det43: checks
JohnAGarner: checks
*** 6th STREET ***
Dealt to YOUNGKIP [6s 9s Ad] 7♥
Dealt to popdog60 [As 5s Ks 5d Ac] K♦
Dealt to Det43 [Kh Kc 8s] 5♥
Dealt to JohnAGarner [4c Jh 8h] 4♥
YOUNGKIP: bets 1200
popdog60: folds
Det43: calls 1200
JohnAGarner: folds
*** RIVER ***
YOUNGKIP: bets 1200
Det43: calls 1200
*** SHOW DOWN ***
YOUNGKIP: shows [6d 3h 6s 9s Ad 7h Tc] (Lo: 9,7,6,3,A)
Det43: shows [2h Ah Kh Kc 8s 5h 7s] (Lo: 8,7,5,2,A)
Det43 collected 6480 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 6480 | Rake 0
Seat 1: TimmyNewsome folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 2: YOUNGKIP showed [6d 3h 6s 9s Ad 7h Tc] and lost with Lo: 9,7,6,3,A
Seat 3: popdog60 folded on the 6th Street
Seat 4: bross1234 folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 5: blondie 38 folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 6: badboyz747 folded on the 3rd Street (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Det43 showed [2h Ah Kh Kc 8s 5h 7s] and won (6480) with Lo: 8,7,5,2,A
Seat 8: JohnAGarner folded on the 6th Street

Tighten up a bit until you can get back on track. Better to tighten up than to play sloppy and kill your stack. 10k looks small compared to what you were, but you would be happy if you were much lower and got up to 10k.

LOL - wow your kidding me ... the game switched from Razz to stud, and some guy with low cards started raising every chance..he eventually got all in and i had a pair of K's .. and he hit 2 more 2's and made trips
ouch- i did win a side pot of 7k (which is my stack now) but the main pot of 17k wouulda been nice

thanks for the advice, i tightened up and waited, got 2 pair on 4th street and just kept raising.. got stack to 23k.. about average

Came in 178th... in Razz, i had a good starting hand and the 4th card gave me a decent low (7 high)... so i pushed .. pot was at 50k and then the next card gave me a pair of aces and the next card gave me 10 high and river gave me 2 pair 10's and A's... too bad it wasn't Stud H/L though...

Oh well, thanks for the help.. I actually finished higher than i thought i would lol

Your welcome bud. I don't always agree with Hellmuth's philosophy, but one thing I do agree with is to tighten up big time when you are on tilt or in danger of going on tilt. 178th is not a bad showing at all. keep up the good work