Originally Posted by titans4ever
I will take the made hand every time. You don't have to improve to win.
I am really surprised at the responses to this thread. As Titans said we must always want the made hand.
In this example we are 54% to win the hand. If we show this down 100 times we are going to win 54 times. Now, I realize that this is almost a coin flip, but, villain must flop his card. And with every card that hits the board his chances of getting it decreases.
Give me the QQ every time and I will win more hands by betting strategy as well. If the AK doesn't hit the flop I bet out and hopefully get villain to fold more than he gets me too. So in reality this 54% actually becomes better than 60% and probably in the 70% range since 10 to 15% of the hands that villain would have made his hand on the river I have gotten him to fold before he gets there.
I have no concrete statistics, but I would guess that we are at least 65% to win the pot if faced with AK.