Question on blind stealing

#2 6th August 2010, 1:22 AM

Basically, Pokey just got it backwards, he meant you have to win 8 times out of 11, not 3.

You are risking 4bbs to win 1.5bb meaning you are getting 1.5:4 on your money (or 3:8). For you to break even in any scenario where you are getting x:y on your money, you need to win (y/x+y)%. For this equation, that is 72.7% (8 out of 11, Pokey got the percentage correct).

8 wins * 1.5bbs = +$12bbs
3 losses * -4bbs = -12bbs

If your opponents fold > than 72.7% of the time, you will show a profit raising with any two cards, even if you never win a dime once called. Which you sometimes will

#3 6th August 2010, 1:29 AM

Thanks mate, I was sure there was a mistake in there lol, just couldn't figure it out, it sounded a bit too good to be true.

Thanks a lot

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