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Poker - Pocket Aces Postflop
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#1
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Pocket Aces Postflop
Ok here's the situation:
100bb stacks UTG+1 raises to 4bbs You're in MP with AA and reraise to 12bbs Everyone folds but the original raiser who calls (Pot 25.5 bb) Flop comes 9c, 10s, 4d Villain checks We bet 15bbs Villain goes All-in It cost us the rest of our stack (73bbs) to call the bet Now it seems that when the above scenario plays out if we call we're likely to see either QQ/KK or a set (also very rarely a straight draw from some hyper aggressive players). So if we assume that we're either WA/WB here are we just bound to pay off the set in these cases? Is there any way we should even THINK about folding? This happened to me twice last night. Once I paid a set of 5s and once I doubled up when the villain showed KK, so I'm just interested to see what others have to say. |
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#3
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Nice thread.
The situation here is very different to open raising x4 and having the same situation happen to you. In the case with a smaller pot small pairs are getting fantastic implied odds to set mine you, and most of the time we should fold. Here its different though, simply because we have 3-bet pre-flop and shook off profitable implied odds for his set mine. We are up against JJ+ enough times to make up for the times that we run into 10's. I call. I rarely fold AA in situations like this, unless the board is very bad for our hand, ie boards of KQ10s without us holding the suited ace. |
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#4
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I agree there is no way we should fold here. I also agree that if the positions are reversed where we bet (4bbs) and are called by a single caller (preflop pot=9.5bbs) with the same action postflop, we should be folding against most opponents.
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#6
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Not quite sure I understand what you mean? Are you saying that you would never fold AA post flop?
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#7
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Pretty much echoing tenbob's comments here. We're a) ahead of his range at the moment, and b) raised enough preflop to have given a smaller pair bad odds and are therefore profiting long-term in these spots by calling.
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#8
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I dont like the check raise at all,
am still thinking, JJ,QQ or KK but maybe, 99 or 10 10, 12BB reraise preflop should have let them know we had a hand fact that he calls set off some alarms also think we have to call and pay off a set if there, more times than not we should be ahead right now jmo |
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#13
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It would be helpful to know betting patterns, if they are in general a tight or loose player, etc. But based on just that information, and they're (seeming) hyper-aggressiveness, I would have to say call. They probably have A/10, or A/Q or A/K and are bluffing (IMO)
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#14
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One thing to add here, at the limits that I am familiar with (10NL and 25NL) a set will almost never shove that flop. Almost everyone who flops a set on this board will try to extract some more value out of you. There are really no drawing hands that fit your range on this flop. Given this scenario, I call instantly every time.
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#16
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it doesn't seem to me like he would have a set. if i had a set i'd slow play it, in this situation. there are no draws out there. u have to be putting your opponent on a hand like QQ KK or JJ.
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#17
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This is how AA worked for me tonight.
Poker Stars, $25 + $2.50 NL Hold'em Tournament, 10/20 Blinds, 9 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter Hero (BTN): 1,971 SB: 2,890 BB: 4,139 UTG: 3,080 UTG+1: 2,970 UTG+2: 2,730 MP1: 3,340 MP2: 2,970 CO: 2,910 Pre-Flop: (30) A A dealt to Hero (BTN)2 folds, UTG+2 raises to 60, 3 folds, Hero raises to 180, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls 120 Flop: (390) J 3 7 (2 Players)UTG+2 checks, Hero bets 200, UTG+2 calls 200 Turn: (790) 2 (2 Players)UTG+2 checks, Hero bets 200, UTG+2 calls 200 River: (1,190) 8 (2 Players)UTG+2 checks, Hero bets 200, UTG+2 raises to 2,150 and is All-In, Hero calls 1,191 and is All-In Results: 3,972 Pot Hero showed A A (a pair of Aces) and LOST (-1,971 NET)UTG+2 showed 7 8 (two pair, Eights and Sevens) and WON 3,972 (+2,001 NET) |
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#19
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Assuming villain has a poker brain, I think the call of the pf reraise rules out KK, QQ,JJ, but still allows TT, 99.
With KK, QQ for most sharp players a 3 bet preflop shove would or could be nearly automatic, the JJ could go either way, and the set mining TT,99, call fits. So perhaps extra weight should go to suited AK, KQ, or possibly even QJ preflop calls. In the case of the QJ, villain is essentially committed to the hand, and knows his only shot is filling, and semi-bluffing you off the hand. My feeling here is that after villains pf raise, your correct move would be the shove. If villain has no poker brain, then his EP raise could have been of the floating steal type, and he hasn't the mind to realize he should have folded rather than call. He could be playing anything. If I sat and thought about this hand, while holding the AA, I could eventually be convincing myself that I was beat, and thus fold. However!, The big book of poker odds says you just about have to call here. ![]() |
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#20
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It's been explained, basically the big thing is that a set is probably not shoving here. Now if you are both good players and he knows you are a good player he may do this to make you think he can't have a good hand and then pay off with an over pair. No draws, so no reason to push with a set. You could have JQ or something I guess but a smart set would not shove to a board like that. I think we see more pocket pairs and sometimes we'll even see AK trying to bully us and figuring even if we do call they have 6 outs twice. I think we have to make that call.
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#21
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I get it! It seems that online that when I have pocket Aces the board is always a tricky one. To my mind when a caller in that situation calls a less than all in bet the board pairs or there is an obvious straight or flush draw you (like always) have to reassess the situation.
While I, like I suspect everyone else, hates this situation and hates to get caught in it, I fold only when I have bet high enough to deduce a minimally reasonable player would fold and the board shows a clear vulnerability to my Aces. For example, a straight draw or flush draw suited board off my aces or high paired cards (expecting a big bet would cause a good player to fold small pairs). Aces getting caught is not that rare, but barring a situation or player who does not present a clear valid attack, I'm busting him or he's busting me here. Merlin333 ![]() Last edited by Merlin333 : 21-02-2008 at 6:45 PM. |
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#23
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i think it depends a lot on the player....what sort of player is he? how has he been playing certian hands? one thing is for sure you can definitely put him on some sort of low to mid pair when he smooth calls your reraise 6s throught to 10s....its definitely tough to lay these hands down because he could have jj qq kk in this spot, but its also possible he flopped a set of 9s or 10s too.....tough spot, but id say you just have to go with your read on the player here
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