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Poker - My cards might be cold as of lately but..
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My cards might be cold as of lately but..
As I am progessing along.. I am starting to read my oppenents a little better now. Just recently lost a sit & go but was proud of myself even by the lose. Had 2 players pegged perfectly.. Either limped in with AX or KX..
Then one said NH to the other when they won with A,2 off suit. Only had a pair of aces. I wrote *cough* on the screen, just couldn't contain myself. She says I will show you a cough when you go out.. I said ok.. and tripled my stack with a flush ace high. I also noticed she small bet an ace when she did have a weak kicker. He would bet on any pair that was on the board. So now I have 2 betting patterns and 2 really extreme tight players. Hardly see them in any hand.. Then totally forgot about one of those tight tight tight person(only mistake I made) but knew it was a mistake and took it on the chin. He pre-flop raised and I called with a K,Q, and shouldn't have. So he got 1/3 of my stack, but back to her. I have pocket 99's on the button. I said why not and put pressure on the 2 loose cannons while I know the others are playing tight. So for them to call they'd have to have a good hand. I read an article yesterday in my e-mail.. Many people fall in love with A-K pre-flop in No-Limit Hold 'em because they know that they can rarely be much worse than 50-50 to win the hand if they get all of their money in heads up. While this is true, the reverse is also true: Rarely will you be much better than 50-50 to win an all-in showdown. So why is A-K considered such a great starting hand? Folding equity. Under the right conditions, you can increase your pot equity to well over 50% by getting your opponents to fold in situations where they shouldn't. Here's a scenario: Blinds are $200-$400 and Jen Harman (who has $12,000 in front of her) raises to $1,200 from middle position with pocket tens. You re-raise all-in for $6,000 with A-K from the button. It is difficult for Jen to call here because, even though she suspects you might have A-K, she knows you could also make that play with A-A, K-K, Q-Q or J-J. Does she want to play for half of her stack on what figures to be, at best, a 57% favorite? You, on the other hand, are confident that unless she has one of two hands (AA or KK), you are no worse than 43% to win, even if she calls. Unless Jen picks up on a tell, she is forced to fold a hand that is actually better than your A-K by a slight margin. Not only that, but you've also made her give up all the extra chips in the pot (mostly hers) that were giving her great odds to make a call. Variants of this scenario come up all the time in No-Limit Hold 'em. The mistake many inexperienced players make is not giving their opponents a chance to fold. They look down to find A-K and can't wait to get all their money in the middle and race. But as we can see from the example above, the power of A-K pre-flop really comes from the "folding equity" you gain when you can make your opponent lay down a hand they would not lay down if they could see your hole cards. So guess what she called me with an ace,king.. Ace come on the flop but I was still happy knowing that I played well. She said in a snide mark.. see ya.. I said tc lucky and closed the window. So basically what I am saying,, keep playing, keep reading, pay attention at all times, take a some notes, cause I notice my game is getting a little better as I progress. If my game can get better I am sure anybody elses can with all that. Also remember one can't stop learning about the game. |
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