Poker Forum - Register
For the biggest and best online poker promotions use a pokerstars marketing code which earns you bonus money as does a full tilt poker referral code which is applicable for poker games & strategies online to play online poker at Us poker sites for winning lots of money.
Titan Poker Party Poker Bodog Pacific Poker
Go Back   Poker Forum > Poker Message Boards > Strategy Forum
Search
SEARCH THE ONLINE POKER FORUMS  

Online Poker Forum
Reply
  Poker - figuring odds
 
  #1  
29-07-2005, 8:09 AM
Alon Ipser
Felony Poker Player
 
Location: Washington
Plays at: Stars
Posts: 1,307
figuring odds

I have been using a simple formula to figure my odds of hitting a hand. It's not completely accurate but very close. I simply multiply the number of outs by the number of cards left to draw and double that number.

Here's an example; I have 2 diamonds in my hand. 2 more diamonds come on the flop. That means I have 2 more cards to get one of the remaining 9 diamonds. So 9x2x2 or a 36% chance of getting the flush.

Here's another example; I get a pocket pair. The odds off me picking up the set on the flop is 2 cards left to hit the set times 3 cards in the flop, doubled (2x3x2) or 12%.

I came up with this and think it's right. What do you folks think?
 

PokerStarsPokerStars is amongst the best places to play poker online that accepts US players. Use PokerStars marketing code CARDSCHAT for a $75 bonus.

Full Tilt PokerFull Tilt Poker accepts US players. Use Full Tilt Poker referral code CARDSCHAT for a $600 bonus and to play online poker with the pro's.

  #2  
29-07-2005, 8:14 AM
StackThemUp
Advanced Member
 
Location: Dubai
Plays at: paradise
Posts: 150
Hi,
Yeah not a bad way to quicky work out your odds...i use this method:
Say i have a flush draw which gives me 9 outs and there are 2 cards to come i simply multiply by 4 or 2 if there is only one card left.
9x4= 36% (actual % is 34.95) 9x2= 18 (actual % is 19)...so they are both similar methods and get the same results....
  #3  
29-07-2005, 9:27 AM
Bill_Hollorian
CardsChat Regular
 
Plays at: PartyPoker
Posts: 389
It is right enough, it is called the shotgun method. However, some of your outs could improve your hand, and your opponents hand simultaneously. These are known as douts. Some of your outs may be reduced to a half out, etc.

It is important to include what you know about the range of hands that you put your opponetn on.
For example lets say you have pocket 9,9. flop is 78q offsuit. Your opponent holds j,10. Lets say you are getting real good pot odds, even when you lead out. The river comes and you hit your 9 giving you trips. Well, your opponent just made a straight. so your 9 is a dout not an out.

Bill
  #4  
29-07-2005, 3:04 PM
Four Dogs
deadinaditch
 
Posts: 2,873
That's true Bill, but pre flop, there is virtually no way you can put an opponent on any specific unpaired hand. After the flop you may see the striaght possiblity, but the chances of your opponent having the exact 2 cards that will hurt you, suited or not, are 82:1 against or about 1.2%. Not really enough to change Ipsers formula considering it was an approximation to begin with
 

« Previous the all in bluff    Pocket Kings Next »


Similar Threads for: Poker > figuring odds
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
Pot Odds SHERMSTICK Strategy Forum 0 02-12-2006 3:43 PM
My Buddy #2 SHERMSTICK Strategy Forum 0 30-08-2006 5:57 AM
Calculating Odds Nick Strategy Forum 17 12-06-2005 4:08 AM


Full Tilt Poker
PLAY WITH THE PROS, $600 BONUS, US FRIENDLY POKER SITE!

All times are GMT +1. The time now is 8:18 AM.


Sitemap: General

Copyscape   Poker En Ligne Online Poker Poker Online
Carbon Poker Coupon Code - All original site contents ©Cardschat.com 2004-2008. Reproduction is prohibited.