25 billionth hand Estimated Time at Pokerstars?

Anyone got an estimation on this, an educated guess? It's nearly noon eastern time and its at 24,931,000,000 so I am probably going to guess with late tonight or tomorrow?

I'm gonna guess between 1am and 4am EST
I'll be sleeping

I did a quick estimate this morning based on time between milestones hands and put it around 2 AM ET. I however expect things to speed up as the 25 billionth hand approaches.

Best guess would be sometime between 11 PM ET and 2 AM ET tongiht (Saturday.)

I saw on another thread where some did the actual math and siad Monday morning. There is current 63 million hands left to go. I'll check it again in a couple of hours and see where it stands. Again, I expect the pace of hands to pick up as the 25th million hand gets close.

Going by the time of OP and TRB's post, 6 million hands have been completed in the 3 hour difference between the 2 posts.
2 million hands per hour at the current rate,though as some have said, that will likely increase.

Would suck if you had one hand earlier or later

Okay. I saw 3 million hands played in about 1 hour and 10 minutes 24,937,000,000 at about 14:45 and 24,940,000,000 at about 15:55.

That actaully seems slower than when I was playing this morning.

So that pace would be place hand 25 million somwhere around 15:15 on Sunday.

Very limited sample and again I expect the pace to pick up tonight (but maybe slow down some in the morning and then pick again tomorrow late morning as 25 million approaches.)

I'll be keeping on eye on it and hoping it happens after about 07:00 tomorrow so I'll be online.

I'm never ever got a chance of winning this, play 4 ring games table in once for hours but still no win.

If I'm awake/available when it happens, I swear I'll be opening 50 odd tables???

Out of curiosity what that ruling to get the bonus? Do you have to just be dealt in, or see a flop or play the whole hand?

You just have to be dealt in. That means you have to be seated at the table and not sitting out when the table is frozen by Poker Stars. I saw a 6 handed table yesterday where there were only 2 players at the table when it was announced. Of course 4 players quickly filled the open seats, but they were not dealt into the hand.

Well there are still 36 million hands to be dealt. The pace really slowed down (or the hour I observed was exceptionally high.)

at 14:48 on Saturday hand 24,937,000,000 was dealt.
at 9:34 Sunday hand 24,964,500,000 was dealt.

27.5 million hands in 18 hours 46 minutes

There are still 35.5 million hands to go.

If this pace were to be exactly matched for the next 27.45 million hands then hand 24,992,000,000 would be dealt at approximately 04:20 on Monday.

That would still leave 8 million hands to be dealt with each million hands taking around 40 minutes. So I would currently estimate hand 25 billion to de dealt sometime around 7:40 Monday.

As noted above, I really expect the pace of hands being dealt to increase as the magic number approaches, so we are most likely looking at sometime between 5:00 Monday and 7:30 Monday.

I'll be keeping an eye on this and trying to keep it updated.

I'm not a person that stays up until all hours of the night, so my last look at this will probably be around 22:00 Sunday adn then hope it doesn't happen to after 07:00 Monday (so I would be awake by then.)

I don't think it will take that long. It slowed down tremendously over night and is still a bit slow now but picking up as the day goes on. It will be very busy as Americans start waking up and seeing how close it is.

That's what I'm afraid up. If this speeds something like 6 hours, I'll be asleep and miss it. I'll try to keep an eye on it over the course of the day and keep adjusting the estimate as the day goes on.

I think it will happen overnight or very early tomorrow morning.

Server Time Of Milestone Hands On Sunday 12/15.

11:01 - 24,967,000,000
11:33 - 24,968,000,000
12:03 - 24,969,000,000

so at this pace, I'm guessing 11PM EST
or maybe between 4AM-6AM EST

no luck so far though

I don't think it's gonna happen before Monday....tho I may be wrong.

11:01 - 24,967,000,000
11:33 - 24,968,000,000
12:03 - 24,969,000,000
12:40 - 24,970,000,000 (approx time)

Actually 24,970,000,000 was at 12:33.

The cards were not dealt to about 4-5 minutes after that due to the way they freeze the table and go through the announcements, etc., but the the hand actually hit at 12:33.

11:01 - 24,967,000,000
11:33 - 24,968,000,000
12:03 - 24,969,000,000
12:33 - 24,970,000,000
01:03 - 24,969,000,000

This is like tracking Santa Claus on the internet

24,967,000,000 11:01
24,968,000,000 11:33
24,969,000,000 12:03
24,970,000,000 12:33
24,971,000,000 13:01
24,972,000,000 13:28

Looks like people are starting to wake up a play poker.

Here's a question for the 'trackers' ...

[x] Stars distributes hands at random
[x] Delivered to the tables 'as needed' and assigned a number
[x] Ring, MTT, SnG and Play Money hands are all in the same sequences (in other words, even Play Money hands are part of the 25Bil count)
[x] Only ring games are included in the 'milestone' hands
[x] Chat Admin notifies all tables in advance that a 'milestone hand' is about to be dealt
[x] Minutes later, Chat Admin advises 'which' table it was dealt to.

[?] How does Pokerstars know ahead of time that the next millionth hand will be dealt ONLY at a ring table?

[?] How much real control does any site, or even Stars, have over what happens at which table - selectively??

I'm not 'suggesting' anything necessarily improper - just posing the question ... Inquiring minds need to know ...

Except Santa isn't toting around a $150,000 poker package!

So if I get home by 3:30 est, do you think it will have played?

I'm sure Stars simply wrote a code snipet that hand # xxxxx can only be dealt at a ring table. Simple enough to do. Just jump the hand # count to over the benchmark on the MTTs and SNGs once it gets over x.

As to the advance announcement, it is not really in advance. If you watch these table, you will see the hole cards are actually deal, then the table is frozen and the announcement is made.

A more accurate announcement might be that the "hand is about to be played."

^^^ Glad they did. I've picked up +$4 on the 04/08 stud tables already this morning. Fishing is EXCELLENT today ...

Yesrteday I was up a few dollars on the $.02/$.04 Limit holdem tables just playing around the milestone hands. Today I'm just plan running bad and down about 50 cents.

3:30 as in 15:30 on Sunday or 3:30 as in 03:30 on Monday?

If 15:30 then certainly. 03:30 is a maybe. We'll have a much better idea later on.

OK, I'll buy that. I'm farthest thing in the world from a computer genius ... Just made me wonder ...

Looks to me like it is 'in advance'. Advisor says 'is about to be dealt'. Then a few minutes later it announces which table has been dealt the hand, and they pause that game.

Their second announcement IS the "hand is about to be played." pause at that table.
---------
edit: TRB quotes in his sig line "Put yourself in their shoes before you decide on the best way to take their shirts."
I always liked the "Walk a mile in their shoes. That way you're a mile ahead of them and they have to catch up without their shoes."

Yes. about 100,000 hands away the announcer says it is about to be dealt. That appears to based strictly on hand count and does not indicate the table where it will be dealt.

The next announcement is that hand x "is being dealt at" table x.


24,967,000,000 11:01
24,968,000,000 11:33
24,969,000,000 12:03
24,970,000,000 12:33
24,971,000,000 13:01
24,972,000,000 13:28
24,973,000,000 13:54

Slowly speeding up.

24,967,000,000 11:01
24,968,000,000 11:33
24,969,000,000 12:03
24,970,000,000 12:33
24,971,000,000 13:01
24,972,000,000 13:28
24,973,000,000 13:54
24,974,000,000 14:18

24,967,000,000 11:01
24,968,000,000 11:33
24,969,000,000 12:03
24,970,000,000 12:33
24,971,000,000 13:01
24,972,000,000 13:28
24,973,000,000 13:54
24,974,000,000 14:18
24,975,000,000 14:42

Currently at 975, so that's just 25 million hands left to go.

Obviously, my guess of Tuesday morning is going to be wrong. I'm re-guessing very early tomorrow morning (Eastern time), but there are 234K players on PS right now, and they are surely going to speed up the hand rate. Either way, I'm guessing PS is going to break a record for active players sometime today.